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I Called It

This won’t take long.

In November 2o15 I began writing a post about the presidential election. It took me two months to complete. It was on a technical, arcane topic of information distribution called preference cascades and why I thought their time had come to an end. I theorized that a new system of information distribution had come to take its place. I call this new system amorphous dispersal.

If you’ll recall, the field was wide open in November 2015. Regardless, I thought that of all the available candidates,, Trump was going to be the one who was going to be able to take advantage of amorphous dispersal and win the presidency. Here we are.

I’m not the best prognosticator in the world, but this is my moment to say “I called it.”

Fixed, top-down, hierarchal systems (mainstream media) lost. Ever-changing, egalitarian, network systems (social media) won.

If you want to try and understand how this happened, I suggest you read it. I know it’s long, but it will make you smarter.

Amorphous Dispersal: How Information And Influence Spreads Online

Note: FWIW, I didn’t vote for Trump.

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